تحليل السوق السوداء الكربونية (جانواري 14)
01 Carbon Black Index
According to data from TuDuoDuo, the carbon black price index was 6419.5 on January 14th, an increase of 169.5 from the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
03 Analysis of the Impact on the Carbon Black Market
1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong were 3680 yuan/ton; in Shanxi, 3400 yuan/ton; and in Hebei, 3660 yuan/ton. The domestic high-temperature coal tar market is currently quiet and observing, but positive factors continue to emerge, and the market is expected to continue to rise.
2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of carbon black enterprises has declined slightly. Some enterprises in Shandong and Shanxi have seen a decrease in operating rates, but large factories in northern regions such as Shandong and Shanxi are operating at higher rates due to heating and gas supply tasks. Some smaller factories are operating at low rates and incurring losses. Meanwhile, southern regions have maintained low operating rates for an extended period. Overall, the operating rate of carbon black enterprises has declined.
3. Downstream Demand: Recently, some semi-steel tire export orders have increased, further releasing plant capacity. Some companies have moderately increased production, boosting the overall operating rate. Domestic sales have been generally weak during the cycle, with companies increasing production to build up inventory.
04. Market Outlook
Currently, the raw material market is showing some upward trend, leading to expectations of price support for new orders in the region. Furthermore, subsequent offers are also showing a willingness to rise. Downstream markets are only accepting immediate needs, resulting in limited actual transaction volume. Supported by cost prices, the market is maintaining a stable price for new orders.
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