تحليل سوق الكربون الأسود (جانور 26)
01 Carbon Black Index
According to data from TuDuoDuo, the carbon black price index was 6809.5 on January 26th, remaining stable compared to the previous trading day.
02 Carbon Black Market Price
03 Analysis of the Impact on the Carbon Black Market
1. Upstream Raw Materials: Coal tar prices in Shandong were 4000 yuan/ton; in Shanxi, 3940 yuan/ton; and in Hebei, 3950 yuan/ton. Domestic high-temperature coal tar market quotations remained firm, but as coal tar prices reached high levels, further upward potential will narrow.
2. Carbon Black Supply: The operating rate of sample carbon black enterprises declined slightly, while raw material prices rose significantly, increasing pressure on the carbon black market. Some enterprises reduced production lines and adjusted their production schedules, leading to a decline in market operating rates. Moreover, the carbon black market faces significant upward pressure in the short term, and the market operating rate may remain low in the future.
3. Downstream Demand: Some semi-steel tire manufacturers saw a slight increase in production due to export orders, while most other enterprises maintained stable production. Increased pressure on all-steel tire shipments led some companies to moderately control production, resulting in a slight decrease in operating rates and overall poor shipment performance, with inventories continuing to rise.
04 Market Outlook
Currently, the raw material coal tar market remains firm at high levels, providing short-term support to the carbon black market. However, downstream resistance is evident, with limited actual transaction volume, primarily fulfilling previous low-priced orders. Despite this, the high cost support has led to a strong willingness to maintain prices in the carbon black market, and some price negotiation is expected for new orders as well.
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